Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Labor had given itself a strong chance of winning the seat, and had chosen the Mayor of Coffs Harbour as its candidate, but Labor's chances in the seat disappeared following the Tampa incident. These six towns might reveal some clues, Elections archive: Guides, results, news and more, Marie has been charged with reprehensible crimes. I am deeply motivated to represent the people and to advocate the issues that need to be addressed. Voices4Cowper are delighted to present two incredibly talented women seeking community endorsement to run as the Independent for Cowper at the next federal election. I absolutely support a Federal ICAC. Would be expected to do even more poorly on a third attempt. He ran against Hartsukyer thinking hed have a better shot but lost. You have successfully joined our subscriber list. Oakeshott still has a chance of winning this seat. THE Nationals hold the seat of Cowper with just a 4.6 per cent margin, despite it being a Nationals stronghold since 1983. He was following his former constituents from Port Macquarie who had been transferred to Cowper by the 2015 redistribution. Port Macquarie resident Keith McMullen is proud to be preselected as the Labor candidate to contest the seat of Cowper in the federal election. Page served briefly as Australia's 11th Prime Minister in 1939 between the death of Joe Lyons and the election of Robert Menzies as United Australia Party leader. New Morrison ministry takes office following election win, Labor leader Anthony Albanese announces frontbench. Page lost Cowper in an upset in 1961, but was never to know of his defeat, dying before the result was declared. i learned of a website last night called theyvoteforyou.org.au. cancelling the Election for District No. Subtle pot-shots between the incumbent MP, The Nationals Pat Conaghan, and independent challenger Carolyn Heise, have grown into an open stoush in the run to the May 21 poll in Australia's most populous electorate. The daily struggle for food, shelter and safety as inner-city park becomes haven for homeless, Edmund Rice Education Australia issues apology to parents at school for failing to meet child safety standards, 'Highly effective': New studies reveal true impact of NASA's asteroid-smashing mission, Aunty Eunice spent her life fighting for justice, but died days before a crucial turning point, It's a major Australian city that's said to 'barely have a pulse'. Thomson first held the seat for the Protectionist Party and held the seat for successive non-Labor parties for the next 13 years. In 2016 Oakeshott made a late entry to the race for Cowper, his base of Port Macquarie having been transferred from Lyne to Cowper. Labor has an extremely lacklustre unknown candidate and cant be expected to generate any support except the few rusted-on Labor voters in the electorate. Along with many Australians, Im very passionate about supporting a quicker way to reduce emissions. I was the Director of Nursing at Coffs Harbour Health Campus. Woodward grew up and spent most of his life on Sydney's northern beaches but took a 'tree change' moving to the north coast in 2016. I believe in a well-prepared, safe, thriving and just society- heres hoping we can get there together. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). With the national Voices4 movement taking on momentum, now is the opportune time to utilise this energy by investing in an Independent. She is from the northern part of the electorate, which might indicate she is less likely to gain ground in the southern part where the National vote is strongest. Carolyn was endorsed by Voices4Cowper (V4C) members in a voting process that closed at midday on Tuesday 25 January. The Nambucca Shire councillor said for months he had paid little heed to the UAPs Thank you National party signs attacking the Coalition government. One of the lessons from the Covid crisis is that we are all poorer for the rising inequality in our society. The population and economics of the electorate are dominated by tourism and retirement services in Coffs Harbour and Port Macquarie, but with significant rural industries in the rest of the electorate. Independent Fred Nile, elected as a Christian Democratic member, is defending his seat and independent Justin Field, elected as a Greens member, is not defending his seat. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. What went wrong for Labor? Additionally, I manage their volunteer pool, facilitate workshops and social inclusion activities, and mentor the headspace Youth Reference Group- a group of young advocates aged 17-25 years. After the launch, participants then asked V4C to facilitate a process to find a passionate and community-supported independent candidate willing to champion these issues at the upcoming Federal election. The future of Cowper should be in our hands, not that of a political party, therefore Im putting my hat in the ring so that Cowper residents have more choice. Woodward was the Labor candidate . Page served briefly as Australia's 11th Prime Minister in 1939 between the death of Joe Lyons and the election of Robert Menzies as United Australia Party leader. A campaign of awareness and grassroots connections, supported by Cathy McGowan, the former independent MP for Indi, identified two female candidates who declared their intention to stand. He cant nationalise the banks, he said. He worked as a painter and decorator for twenty five years before becoming a high school teacher. Member for Cowper Pat Conaghan was approached for comment, but did not respond prior to publication. Retiring MPs. It seems community engagement and awareness has waned over the past few years when we have needed visibility and connection more than ever. Oakeshott contested again in 2019 giving himself more time to campaign and hoping to capitalise of the retirement of sitting National MP Luke Hartsuyker. A lively campaign is shaping up in the New South Wales mid-north coast electorate of Cowper, with a revealing candidates forum in Bellingen, preferencing games under way, a popular Voices for independent candidate, and an explanation of those United Australia partys interest rate billboards. Inside the battle for Cowper and the tactics used to win From negative advertisements to cringeworthy political jingles and big name politicians flying into the Cowper electorate it is hard not to know there is an election on May 18. The Liberal Party is defending six seats. I bring a diverse range of skills to the table having studied Community Services, Sign Language, Leadership and Mediation. Clive Palmer has successfully entered this field without taking votes from anyone except the major parties, who will now have to mop up preference votes in any way they can. Cowper was a relatively close race in 2016 and 2019 due to the presence of Rob Oakeshott. I always operate from positions of integrity, honesty, positivity, compassion and inclusivity. The seat covers the towns of Coffs Harbour, Port Macquarie, South West Rocks, Nambucca Heads, Bellingen and Kempsey. Voices 4 Cowperis a non-party-political incorporated association with membership from across theCowper electorate. The Nationals primary vote ranged from 35% in Bellingen to 51.5% in Kempsey. Its quite a poorly drawn electorate. He unadvisedly ran again, but against a new candidate in Conaghan and was beaten soundly. The teal campaign of independent Caz Heise is highly present in Cowper. Retired teacher and author Keith McMullen will contest the seat of Cowper for the Labor Party at the 2022 federal election. Conaghan has the sophomore bonus coming, but things arent going well for the Coalition in NSW right now, and Carolyn Heise is a Voices For candidate, things could go poorly for the Nationals here. The current government has demonstrated a lack of integrity, transparency, compassion and commitment to responsible discourse. She has worked for nearly ten years as a Mathematics and Science Teacher in the Mid North Coast area. Oakeshott is again contesting Cowper and will be helped in 2019 by running a longer campaign, by the general swing against the government, and by the retirement of sitting National MP Luke Hartsuyker. After a busy few years, Voices4Cowper have reconsidered the best ways for us to continue to fulfil our vision. The Australian Electoral Commission formally announced the candidates vying for the seat of Cowper and determined the order of candidates on the ballot paper at a public event in Port Macquarie on . best going forward, and know she has the full support of myself and my team. The following members have announced they are not contesting the upcoming election: Half of the Legislative Council is not up for re-election. He spent 12 years as a Detective and Police Prosecutor in the New South Wales Police Force before becoming a lawyer. The Greens will do as well as usual given their destructive policies, theyd have the entire Cowper timber industry closed if they had a say. After the meeting, retiree Pamela Whitehead said she was dismayed by Conaghans body language. Former Independent MP for Lyne Rob Oakeshott announced he would contest Cowper just before the 2016 election. The new district map will be used for the 2022 November election for Districts 1, 2, and 5, and all future City Council election until after the next U.S. Census in 2030. ELECTORATE MAP WITH 2016 BOOTH RESULTS Numbers represent two-party vote percentages at polling booths, coloured in green for a Nationals majority and grey for a independent majority, and varying in size to reflect the number of votes cast. The candidates are listed in alphabetical order. The mood between candidates was friendly except for the sitting member the National partys Pat Conaghan and the independent Carolyn Caz Heise, with Conaghan repeatedly rolling his eyes and occasionally sniping when Heise answered questions. I will be Cowpers grass roots advocate inside our Federal Parliament which I and so many others have become disillusioned with. If you would like to be involved in our work, find out about upcoming projects and events, click the button to join our mailing list. Caz Heise is very well known in much of Cowper, particularly in the health system, and was a very popular health administrator. Each of these organisations used the Kitchen Table Conversation (KTC) process to galvanise their community. The electorate of Cowper has existed since Federation and is named after Sir Charles Cowper, five times Premier of New South Wales between 1856 and 1870. The involvement of Voices 4 Cowper in this selection process has now concluded. Voices4Cowper are delighted to present two incredibly talented women seeking community endorsement to run as the Independent for Cowper at the next federal election. Nope. After teaching in Queensland and Hong Kong, McMullen returned to Port Macquarie five years ago where he researched and wrote a book on Port Macquarie's history of Surfing. Just as science saved my life, I fully subscribe to the science which demands we act immediately to slow the impact of catastrophic climate change. He rolled his eyes, he fidgeted, he appeared to really loathe Caz it wasnt cool at all, he must be feeling really threatened, she said. Former MP Gary Nehl held the seat from 1984 until his retirement in 2001. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. I build rapport easily, and Im genuinely interested in others. Oakeshott told Guardian Australia this election was proving different to any other he had seen. Sign up for our newsletter to stay up to date. On Sunday morning it was still too close for the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) to call with a total of 67,260 first preferences counted. The primary vote for the independents ranged from 19.3% in Kempsey to 31.9% in Port Macquarie-Hastings. I live in Port Macquarie on Birpai Country with my husband Phil Jamieson, frontman of Australian rock band, Grinspoon, and two teenage children, Lyla and Eight. Candidate nominations for state elections; Candidate nominations for local government elections; Appointing a scrutineer; . Conaghan was born and raised in Kempsey and currenly lives on the Mid-North Coast. Between 2008 and 2013 Cowper was the National Party's only north coast seat, Page and Richmond being held by Labor, Lyne by Independent Rob Oakeshott, and the lower north coast seat of Paterson by the Liberal Party. The Australian Labor Party has endorsed Alex Simpson as its candidate for Lyne in the federal election. Its great to know that local democracy has won in the end.. All Labor voters need to do is put Hesse above the Nationals despite the fact that Hesse wouldnt allocate her preferences to Labor. He has a Bachelor of Science from the ANU and a Graduate Diploma in Marine Science from the NMSC in Coffs harbour. Post-Election Margin: National 2.3% v IND. We have amazing entrepreneurs, scientists and engineers who can make the transition to renewable energy possible. Australia should be leading the way in this space. We need a rethink of the structural inequalities which expose front line and service sector workers to burn-out and ill-health while simultaneously rewarding tax avoiding corporates, the well-heeled and big polluters. Get ready for silly things as they work hard on winning the whacko vote.. But when the billboards were refreshed early in the campaign, the message changed and Jones saw red about billionaire politician Clive Palmers claim. 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